非洲国家债务风险评估 中国社会科学出版社 mobi 百度云 txt pdb 下载 lrf pdf 地址

本报告回顾了非洲国家债务问题的历史沿革，梳理了非洲国家债务现状，并以现有的国家债务债务风险评估框架为依据，选取代表性指标对部分非洲国家的债务风险进行评估，对未来如何继续推进中非经贸合作提出了相应的政策建议

Chapter 1 Risk of Debt Distress in African Countries Raises Concerns

Chapter 2 Theory and Literature Review

1 Concepts Related to Sovereign Debts

2 Studies on Issues Related to Sovereign Debt

3 Studies on African Debts

Chapter 3 The Status Quo of Debts in African Countries

1 Overall Situation of Debts in African Countries

2 Debts in the African Sub-regions and Some Countries

2.1 The Situation of Debt in Northern Africa

2.2 Situation of Debts in Central Africa

2.3 Situation of Debts in Eastern Africa

2.4 Situation of Debts in Western Africa

2.5 Situation of Debts in Southern Africa

3 Origin of the Debt Problem of African Countries

Chapter 4 National Debt Risk Analysis Frameworks

1 Multilateral International Organizations'Debt Sustainability Analysis

Frameworks

1.1 Heavily Indebted Poor Country (HIPC)Initiative

1.2 Debt Sustainability Framework (DSF)

2 Rating Companies'Sovereign Credit Assessment Frameworks

2.1 Standard & Poor's

2.2 Moody's

2.3 Fitch Ratings

2.4 Dagong

3 Results of Existing Researches

3.1 Risk Identification

3.2 Effective Monitoring Indicatorsd

3.3 Theoretical Models

3.4 Empirical Models

3.5 Debt Sustainability and Sovereign Debt Risk

Chapter 5 Assessment of the Debt Risks in African Countries

1 Selection of Indicators

1.1 Economic Foundation

1.2 Solvency

1.3 Political Stability

2 Rating Methodology

3 Rating Samples

4 Rating Results

4.1 Analysis of Sub-indicators

4.2 Overall Analysis

Chapter 6 Experiences in Debt Risk Management of Developing Countries

1 The Debt Crisis in Latin America in the 1970s

2 Debt Crises in Central and Easterm Europe in the 1990s

3 Debt Crises in Developing Countries during the 1997 Asian Finan Crisis

4 Debt Risks of Developing Countries during the 2008 Intemational Finan crisis

Chapter 7 Africa's Debt Problem and Sustainable Development of China-Africa Cooperation

1 Properly Responding to False Accusations against China

2 Save Funds from China from Increasing the Debt Risk of African Countries

3 Promoting China-Africa Cooperation through Strategic Integration between China and Africa

4 Service Industry Will Become an Important Area for Promoting China-Africa Cooperation

References

张春宇，世界经济与政治研究所副研究员，研究领域（方向） 非洲金融。研究成果有《金融危机对非洲产油国对外油气合作的影响》、《非洲产油国石油政策调整和金融危机冲击带来的投资风险及我国的应对措施》、《中国金融稳定的政策与挑战》。

李新烽，中国社会科学院西亚非洲研究所研究员，社会文化研究室主任，中国社科院研究生院教授、博士研究生导师。兼任中国散文学会副秘书长，中国报告文学学会副秘书长；中国非洲问题研究会常务理事，中国亚非学会理事，中国非洲史研究会理事，中国中东学会理事。

李若杨，西亚非洲研究所博士研究生。

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